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Shrinkage Estimation of High Frequency and High Dimensional Covariance Matrix and Its Application in Minimum Variance Portfolio#br# |
LI Yu1, XIAO Min2,3, MING Ruixing2 |
1.Mental Health Education Center, Zhejiang Gongshang University
2.School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University
3.Collaborative Innovation Center of Statistical Data Engineering Technology & Application, Zhejiang Gongshang University |
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Abstract: Microstructure noise and heavy tail phenomena are very common in financial asset return series under the background of high-frequency trading. At the same time, the covariance matrix of financial asset returns is characterized by high dimensionality and sparsity. Based on the pre average method with Huber loss function, a shrinkage estimation of the covariance matrix of financial asset returns in the context of high-frequency financial data is proposed. The simulation results show that the shrinkage estimation performs well. Finally, high-frequency data of Chinese A-share stock market is applied for empirical analysis to explore the investment performance of the estimator on the minimum variance portfolio. The results show that: (1) The pre average method can eliminate the influence of most microstructure noises on covariance matrix estimation; Huber loss function can also weaken the influence of heavy tail on covariance matrix estimation; (2) Shrinkage estimators can better estimate the overall covariance matrix, and have the better performance in the comparison of minimum variance investment strategies.
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Received: 08 October 2022
Published: 15 March 2023
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